Everest Group, Ltd. (EG): analysis and signal as of September 8, 2026

Published on September 2, 2026 at 21:12 · Updated on September 8, 2026 at 06:28 · by Aurélien Ambert, QDNA

Exchange : NYSE · Sector : Finance

In short

The signal is weak with a score of 2,0. The attractive valuation of the stock coexists with a market environment that amplifies unanticipated shocks.

Current signal: weak (vote 2/3)
Deterministic score: +2.0 → signal expected by the scale : moderate (September 10, 2026)
Layers: fundamentals : –, price : neutral, risks : positive

Triggered rules

Rule	Weight
favors (GARP) a stock whose PEG is below 1, growth not yet paid for	+1.5
moderately favors a positive 12-1 month momentum (tailwind), BUT guardrail: costly rotation, long-term reversal, momentum crashes, a conviction signal, not a rotation trigger	+0.5

Thesis

Everest Group is a profitable reinsurer showing a net margin of 13,4 % and a ROE of 10,9 %. The financial structure is solid with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0,51x and a free cash flow of 117,8 M USD. The dividend stands at 2,10 % gross. The current price is 380,87 USD. The stock trades at 1,5 % below its year-to-date high. The median analyst target is 400 USD.

Bull case

The margin of safety is real. The multiple of 13,2x on a ROE of 10,9 % offers PEG attractiveness confirmed by a deterministic signal of +2,00. Short interest declines by 8,3 % compared to the previous settlement. It represents 4,12 % of the float. The price sits at 1,5 % below the year-to-date high. The median target of 400 USD from 16 analysts indicates a potential of 5,0 %.

Bear case

The macroeconomic regime penalizes the sector. US inflation at 3,5 % weighs on investments. The 10-2 US slope is at +0,41 pt and the BCE is at 2,25 %. Cboe complacency shows a VIX9D/VIX3M slope of -32 % and a put/call of 0,76. An unanticipated shock would be amplified. Short interest remains at 4,12 % of the float. Three hedge funds hold 1,8 M shares for approximately 573 M USD.

Scenarios

The bullish scenario relies on financial strength and valuation. The bearish scenario stems from market complacency and the interest rate regime. Probabilities remain uncertain given the risk of unanticipated shocks. The median target of 400 USD serves as a reference for the upside potential.

Risks

The main risk is the amplification of unanticipated shocks. Cboe complacency with a slope of -32 % reduces coverage. The unfavorable interest rate regime weighs on the sector. Moderate short interest can accentuate price movements. Hedge funds holding 1,8 M shares could act on the market.

Market positioning (short sellers)

Short interest / shares outstanding: 5.54 %
Days to cover: 4.80
Settlement date: 2026-08-14
Source: FINRA (disseminated on 2026-08-26)

Market information published by FINRA (consolidated short interest, all venues), no directional comment.

Upcoming catalysts

Date	Description
October 28, 2026	Renewals handled in January 2027, pricing signal

Signal history (last 12 months)

Date	Signal	New fact
September 8, 2026	weak (2/3)	not published
September 2, 2026	weak (single draw, outside the three-draw protocol)	not published
August 31, 2026	weak (single draw, outside the three-draw protocol)	unchanged

Frequently asked questions

Why is the signal weak despite an attractive valuation?

The signal is weak because the attractive valuation coexists with an unfavorable market environment. Cboe complacency shows a slope of -32 %. The macroeconomic regime penalizes the sector. US inflation at 3,5 % weighs on investments. The 10-2 US slope is at +0,41 pt. The BCE is at 2,25 %. These factors limit the strength of the bullish signal.

What is the level of short interest?

Short interest is at 4,12 % of the float. It represents 1,57 M shares. It is down 8,3 % compared to the previous settlement. Three hedge funds hold 1,8 M shares. These shares represent approximately 573 M USD. This level remains moderate but not negligible for the market.

What is the median analyst target?

The median target is 400 USD. It is based on 16 analysts. It represents a potential of 5,0 % compared to the current price of 380,87 USD. The stock is at 1,5 % below its year-to-date high. This high is 386,15 USD recorded on 03/09.

What are the financial indicators of Everest Group?

The net margin is 13,4 %. The ROE is 10,9 %. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0,51x. The price multiple is 13,2x. The free cash flow is 117,8 M USD. The dividend is 2,10 % gross. These indicators show solid profitability and financial strength.

Sources

The official filings below are the issuer's own, matched to this stock by its identifier (LEI, CIK or ISIN). The figures quoted above come from an automated arbitration: they have not been re-checked one by one.

August 31, 2026 — 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits (SEC · 8-K)
August 3, 2026 — 10-Q (SEC · 10-Q)
July 29, 2026 — 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits (SEC · 8-K)
June 3, 2026 — 8.01 Other Events; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits (SEC · 8-K)
May 15, 2026 — 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers; 5.07 Sub… (SEC · 8-K)

Automated AI analysis: limitations and transparency

This content is an automated analysis produced using artificial intelligence. Personal analysis for information purposes — no personalised investment advice. MMR content consists of general research. It does not take account of your financial circumstances, objectives or risk tolerance. Data, analyses and results, including those produced using artificial intelligence, may contain errors, be incomplete or become outdated. No return or outcome is guaranteed. All investments carry a risk of partial or total loss of capital. Past performance and simulations do not predict future results. Before making any decision, check information against original sources and, where necessary, consult an authorised professional. You remain responsible for your investment decisions. This notice does not exclude or limit any liability that cannot legally be excluded or limited.
Tool and analysis: QDNA, Aurélien Ambert.
Analysis (arbitration) completed on September 8, 2026; this page was completed on September 8, 2026 at 06:28 (UTC).
Interests: no position in the stock analysed (EG) is recorded in the data consulted on September 12, 2026 (UTC). This does not confirm the absence of holdings or other interests. The situation at the analysis publication date has not been reconstructed.
This declaration covers only recorded positions in this stock; it is not an exhaustive verification of other interests or remuneration.
Methodology: analysis chain, score formula and scale described on the public methodology page.
Analysis horizon: 2035.