Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (TDY): analysis and signal as of September 3, 2026

Published on September 3, 2026 at 19:38 · Updated on September 3, 2026 at 21:59 · by Aurélien Ambert, QDNA

Exchange : NYSE · Sector : Electronic Technology

In short

No signal is generated on Teledyne Technologies as of 2026-09-03, with a score of -0.5 and a vote of 3/3. The main reason lies in a broken technical momentum and a September event window considered risky, despite an intact quality profile.

Current signal: no signal (vote 3/3)
Deterministic score: -0.5 → signal expected by the scale : weak (September 10, 2026)
Layers: fundamentals : positive, price : neutral, risks : positive

Triggered rules

Rule	Weight
penalizes a PEG above 2, the anticipated growth is overpaid (overvalued fast grower)	-1.5
favors robust fundamental health (high Piotroski F-Score)	+1.5
penalizes direct holding of US securities in a CTO (US estate tax at death), favors a UCITS ETF domiciled in IE	-1.0
moderately favors a positive 12-1 month momentum (tailwind), BUT guardrail: costly rotation, long-term reversal, momentum crashes, a conviction signal, not a rotation trigger	+0.5

Thesis

The thesis rests on a defense and instrumentation profile endowed with a durable competitive advantage, materialized by a positive Piotroski F-score, a durable ROIC and a share repurchase programme of about 250 M USD per quarter. This quality foundation remains intact, but technical momentum is broken and the month of September concentrates event risks, with the BCE meeting on 10/09, the CLARITY deadline on 15/09 and the TSM detachment on 16/09. This conjunction explains the absence of a signal as of 2026-09-03. A sustained close below the 200-session moving average would invalidate the thesis. The third quarter 2026 results, expected on 21/10/2026, constitute the next fundamental milestone.

Bull case

The main bullish argument lies in an American defense share estimated between 30 and 35 % of revenue, protected by the ITAR regime and a network of OTAN allies. This activity is aligned with the factors currently favored by the market, defense and artificial intelligence via the test and measurement activity dedicated to semiconductors. The company's durable operational quality and the valuation premium it commands are explained by the split between instrumentation and imaging.

Bear case

The bearish argument rests on a confirmed structure of bullish fragility: over two years, overnight gains reach +46,6 % against -4,2 % intraday, a gap of 50,8 points. The current price of 606 USD sits below the 50-session moving average and in contact with the 200-session moving average, a configuration that reflects structural bearish pressure. The American Department of Defense budget for FY2027 is not adopted, and a sector rotation in September risks penalizing the segment.

Scenarios

The bullish scenario, weighted at 30 %, counts on a rebound after the CLARITY and Arc deadlines, with a return toward the 50-session moving average. The central scenario, weighted at 45 %, describes a stabilization within a range until the third quarter results. The bearish scenario, weighted at 25 %, combines a break of the 200-session moving average and a BCE with more restrictive orientations.

Risks

The main risk lies in the American Department of Defense budget for FY2027, still not adopted, which reduces visibility on orders. The concentration of events in September, with the BCE on 10/09, the CLARITY deadline on 15/09 and the TSM detachment on 16/09, exposes the stock to volatile moves. The documented technical fragility, with a price below the 50-session moving average and in contact with the 200-session moving average, increases sensitivity to an unfavorable sector rotation. A close below the 200-session moving average would constitute an invalidation of the thesis.

Market positioning (short sellers)

Short interest / shares outstanding: 2.20 %
Days to cover: 3.20
Settlement date: 2026-08-14
Source: FINRA (disseminated on 2026-08-26)

Market information published by FINRA (consolidated short interest, all venues), no directional comment.

Upcoming catalysts

Date	Description
October 22, 2026	Q3 2026 report, defense and digital imaging read-through

Signal history (last 12 months)

Date	Signal	New fact
September 3, 2026	no signal (3/3)	No new fact since the verdict of 2026-09-01. The price of 606,36 USD is unchanged, no results publication or forecast revision has taken place, and the macroeconomic and event calendar remains identical. The fundamental and risk layers maintain a positive verdict, without signal triggering given the absence of a new technical or fundamental catalyst.
September 1, 2026	no signal (single draw, outside the three-draw protocol)	unchanged

Frequently asked questions

What is the signal delivered on Teledyne Technologies?

No signal. The verdict of 2026-09-03 shows a score of -0.5 for a vote of 3/3. The quality profile remains recognized, with a positive Piotroski F-score and a durable ROIC, but the broken technical momentum and the September event window, which brings together the BCE, the CLARITY deadline and the TSM detachment, justify this absence of signal.

Which arguments support the bullish thesis?

The company derives about 30-35 % of its revenue from American defense, protected by the ITAR regime and a network of OTAN allies. It benefits from an alignment with the market's favored factors, defense and artificial intelligence via the test and measurement activity for semiconductors. Its operational quality and its split between instrumentation and imaging justify a valuation premium.

Why is the technical momentum concerning?

The stock shows a confirmed structure of bullish fragility over two years: overnight gains reach +46,6 % against -4,2 % intraday, a gap of 50,8 points. The current price of 606 USD sits below the 50-session moving average and in contact with the 200-session moving average. This configuration reflects structural bearish pressure.

Which deadlines punctuate the coming weeks?

Three dates concentrate the risk: the BCE meeting on 10/09, the CLARITY deadline on 15/09 and the TSM detachment on 16/09. The third quarter 2026 results are expected on 21/10/2026. This dense calendar comes on top of an American Department of Defense budget for FY2027 still not adopted, which reduces visibility on defense orders.

What would invalidate the thesis?

A sustained close below the 200-session moving average, which the price is currently touching, would invalidate the thesis. A more restrictive BCE monetary policy combined with this break matches the bearish scenario, weighted at 25 %. Conversely, the bullish scenario, at 30 %, assumes a rebound after the CLARITY and Arc deadlines up to the 50-session moving average.

Sources

The official filings below are the issuer's own, matched to this stock by its identifier (LEI, CIK or ISIN). The figures quoted above come from an automated arbitration: they have not been re-checked one by one.

August 10, 2026 — 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits (SEC · 8-K)
July 24, 2026 — 10-Q (SEC · 10-Q)
July 22, 2026 — 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition; 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits (SEC · 8-K)
April 24, 2026 — 10-Q (SEC · 10-Q)
April 22, 2026 — 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers; 5.03 Ame… (SEC · 8-K)

Automated AI analysis: limitations and transparency

This content is an automated analysis produced using artificial intelligence. Personal analysis for information purposes — no personalised investment advice. MMR content consists of general research. It does not take account of your financial circumstances, objectives or risk tolerance. Data, analyses and results, including those produced using artificial intelligence, may contain errors, be incomplete or become outdated. No return or outcome is guaranteed. All investments carry a risk of partial or total loss of capital. Past performance and simulations do not predict future results. Before making any decision, check information against original sources and, where necessary, consult an authorised professional. You remain responsible for your investment decisions. This notice does not exclude or limit any liability that cannot legally be excluded or limited.
Tool and analysis: QDNA, Aurélien Ambert.
Analysis (arbitration) completed on September 3, 2026; this page was completed on September 3, 2026 at 21:59 (UTC).
Interests: no position in the stock analysed (TDY) is recorded in the data consulted on September 12, 2026 (UTC). This does not confirm the absence of holdings or other interests. The situation at the analysis publication date has not been reconstructed.
This declaration covers only recorded positions in this stock; it is not an exhaustive verification of other interests or remuneration.
Methodology: analysis chain, score formula and scale described on the public methodology page.
Analysis horizon: 2035.